Phobos Frontier: Japan's Groundbreaking Mission to Mars' Mysterious Moon
SpaceTime: Astronomy & Science NewsOctober 19, 2026x
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00:22:5821.08 MB

Phobos Frontier: Japan's Groundbreaking Mission to Mars' Mysterious Moon

Monday SpaceTime 20261019 Series 29 Episode 125 Sample return mission to the Martian moon Phobos Japan’s Martian Moons eXploration mission is slated to launch today on the first ever sample return mission to the red planet’s largest moon Phobos. The solar system’s life expectancy is far shorter than previously thought A new study warns that the solar system will end much sooner than previously thought thanks to massive gravitational perturbations and resonances causing the planet’s orbits to destabilize as the Sun expands. NASA’s SpaceX Crew-13 mission launches to International Space Station NASA’s SpaceX crew 13 have arrived aboard the International Space Station just seven hours and 50 minutes after blasting off from Cape Canaveral in Florida. The Science Report Claims men with deeper voices might seem to be stronger – but not more attractive to women. Fewer 15 year olds are now identifying as gay, lesbian, or bisexual compared to two years ago. Sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific expected to increase to record levels. The earliest known evidence of ancient humans attacking one another with spears. Skeptics guide to the pseudoscience of homeopathy.

Our Guests This Week Professor Steve Madden from the Australian National University Blue Origin Exploration Systems Technical Program Manager Yuka Matsuyama Blue Origin Exploration Systems Vice President Kris Zacny NASA Perseverance Deputy Project Scientist Katy Stack Morgan NASA Perseverance Project Scientist Ken Farley NASA Perseverance Deputy Project Manager Matt Wallace NASA Perseverance Chief Engineer Adan Steltzner NASA Perseverance Mobility Team Member Farah Alibay   Our regular guests: Alex Zaharov-Reutt from techadvice.life Tim Mendham from Australian Skeptics 🌏 Get Our Exclusive NordVPN deal here ➼ www.bitesz.com/nordvpn . The discounts and bonuses are incredible! And it’s risk-free with Nord’s 30-day money-back guarantee! ✌ If you’d like to support the podcast and gain access to bonus content by becoming a SpaceTime crew member, you can do just that through The Big Bang editions on Patreon, Spotify and Apple Podcasts. Details on the Support page on our website https://www.bitesz.com/show/spacetime/support/


00:00:00 --> 00:00:02 Stuart Gary: This is space time series 29 episode

00:00:02 --> 00:00:05 125 for broadcast on 19 October

00:00:06 --> 00:00:08 2026. Coming up on spacetime,

00:00:09 --> 00:00:11 a sample return mission to the Martian moon

00:00:11 --> 00:00:14 Phobos. Our solar system's life

00:00:14 --> 00:00:17 expectancy far shorter than previously

00:00:17 --> 00:00:19 thought. And NASA's SpaceX Crew

00:00:19 --> 00:00:22 13 mission arrives aboard the International

00:00:22 --> 00:00:24 Space Station for what will be a six month

00:00:24 --> 00:00:27 mission on the orbiting outpost. All that and

00:00:27 --> 00:00:29 more coming up on, um, Space Time.

00:00:31 --> 00:00:34 Welcome to Space Time with Stuart

00:00:34 --> 00:00:34 Gary.

00:00:50 --> 00:00:53 Japan's Martian Moons exploration mission.

00:00:53 --> 00:00:56 The MMX is slated to launch today on the

00:00:56 --> 00:00:58 first ever sample return mission to the Red

00:00:58 --> 00:01:01 Planet's largest moon, Phobos. The flight

00:01:01 --> 00:01:04 aboard a Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency

00:01:04 --> 00:01:07 JAXA H3 rocket from the Tanegashima Space

00:01:07 --> 00:01:09 Centre, 1 kilometres south of Tokyo, will

00:01:09 --> 00:01:12 take a year to reach Mars, returning to Earth

00:01:12 --> 00:01:14 and landing in the Australian outback in

00:01:14 --> 00:01:17 2031. Despite the

00:01:17 --> 00:01:20 large number of missions to Mars, its two

00:01:20 --> 00:01:22 moons, Phobos and Deimos, remain a

00:01:22 --> 00:01:25 mystery. There are huge open

00:01:25 --> 00:01:27 questions about how they formed and, and what

00:01:27 --> 00:01:30 they're made of. The most popular

00:01:30 --> 00:01:32 hypothesis is that they're either captured

00:01:32 --> 00:01:34 asteroids from the nearby main asteroid belt

00:01:34 --> 00:01:36 between Mars and Jupiter, or they're the

00:01:36 --> 00:01:39 remains of debris thrown up into orbit

00:01:39 --> 00:01:41 following a giant asteroid collision onto the

00:01:41 --> 00:01:44 Martian surface. But to find out what

00:01:44 --> 00:01:46 really happened, scientists need to collect

00:01:46 --> 00:01:49 samples. And that's where the Martian moon's

00:01:49 --> 00:01:52 explorer mission comes in. MMX will

00:01:52 --> 00:01:55 be the first spacecraft to orbit Phobos, the

00:01:55 --> 00:01:57 first to land on it and and the first to

00:01:57 --> 00:01:59 collect samples from its surface for return

00:01:59 --> 00:02:02 to Earth. The 4

00:02:02 --> 00:02:04 kilogrammes spacecraft will arrive at Mars in

00:02:04 --> 00:02:07 August, transferring to orbit around the 27

00:02:07 --> 00:02:10 kilometre wide moon a month later. And then

00:02:10 --> 00:02:12 it'll map the surface of the tiny moon to

00:02:12 --> 00:02:15 identify a suitable landing site. After

00:02:15 --> 00:02:17 studying both Phobos and Deimos from orbit,

00:02:17 --> 00:02:20 it'll deploy a small 25 kilogramme four

00:02:20 --> 00:02:22 wheeled lander rover called IDEFX in

00:02:22 --> 00:02:25 2029, which will descend down to the

00:02:25 --> 00:02:27 Phobian surface. The paving the way for the

00:02:27 --> 00:02:30 MMX spacecraft which will land once or twice

00:02:30 --> 00:02:33 in 2030, collecting up to 10 kilogrammes of

00:02:33 --> 00:02:35 regolith using a pneumatic sampling system.

00:02:36 --> 00:02:38 The samples will then be packed into a return

00:02:38 --> 00:02:40 module for the journey back to earth,

00:02:40 --> 00:02:43 arriving in 2031. On the way

00:02:43 --> 00:02:45 back, MMX will fly past Deimos, taking a

00:02:45 --> 00:02:47 closer look and it will also carry out

00:02:47 --> 00:02:50 observations of Mars itself. The

00:02:50 --> 00:02:53 MMX spacecraft is equipped with a radiation

00:02:53 --> 00:02:55 monitor, high resolution narrow and wide

00:02:55 --> 00:02:58 field cameras, a LIDAR light detection and

00:02:58 --> 00:02:59 Ranging system system, a near infrared

00:02:59 --> 00:03:02 spectrometer, a gamma ray and neutron

00:03:02 --> 00:03:05 spectrometer, a Martian dust monitor, a mass

00:03:05 --> 00:03:07 spectrum analyzer, a laser induced breakdown

00:03:07 --> 00:03:10 spectroscope, gravity gradiometer and two

00:03:10 --> 00:03:13 different sampling devices. The Artifice

00:03:13 --> 00:03:15 lander rover carries four of its own

00:03:15 --> 00:03:18 scientific instruments including two cameras,

00:03:18 --> 00:03:20 a radiometer and a Raman spectrometer

00:03:20 --> 00:03:22 providing information to prepare for the

00:03:22 --> 00:03:25 landing of the main spacecraft. Gravity

00:03:25 --> 00:03:28 on Phobos is so low that Artifice will only

00:03:28 --> 00:03:30 weigh the equivalent of 15 grammes on its

00:03:30 --> 00:03:32 surface. And scientists want to see exactly

00:03:32 --> 00:03:35 how difficult it will be to operate with such

00:03:35 --> 00:03:37 a small gravitational potential.

00:03:38 --> 00:03:40 While the MMX mission is led by jaxa,

00:03:40 --> 00:03:43 NASA, the French Space Agency, the

00:03:43 --> 00:03:46 German Aerospace Centre, uh, and the European

00:03:46 --> 00:03:49 Space Agency, ESA will also play key

00:03:49 --> 00:03:52 roles and Blue Origin subsidiary

00:03:52 --> 00:03:54 Honeybee Robotics developed the mission's all

00:03:54 --> 00:03:56 important P sampler pneumatic sampling

00:03:56 --> 00:03:57 system.

00:03:57 --> 00:03:59 Chris Sackney: We're launching in October this year a

00:03:59 --> 00:04:02 pneumatic sampler for MMX and we're expecting

00:04:02 --> 00:04:05 to receive the sample back in 2031.

00:04:05 --> 00:04:08 Matt Wallace: It really took a village working for almost

00:04:08 --> 00:04:10 two decades to get it to this point, to get

00:04:10 --> 00:04:13 it to the launch pad. The primary purpose of

00:04:13 --> 00:04:15 a uh, pneumatic sampler is to capture uh,

00:04:15 --> 00:04:18 Phobos material. So by capturing

00:04:18 --> 00:04:21 regolith that sits on the surface of Phobos,

00:04:21 --> 00:04:24 we also capturing Martian samples.

00:04:24 --> 00:04:27 Chris Sackney: It carries high pressure gas, very

00:04:27 --> 00:04:30 clean ultra purity nitrogen gas and

00:04:30 --> 00:04:32 then that gets released to kick up the

00:04:32 --> 00:04:33 regolith

00:04:33 --> 00:04:36 Matt Wallace: on the Phobos surface and then gas under

00:04:36 --> 00:04:38 the pressure moves the regolith into the

00:04:38 --> 00:04:41 container. This entire process happens in

00:04:41 --> 00:04:43 a fraction of a second. You blink and it's

00:04:43 --> 00:04:44 all done.

00:04:44 --> 00:04:47 Chris Sackney: Um, once the canister

00:04:47 --> 00:04:49 is ready to be stored, we'll release the

00:04:49 --> 00:04:51 canister from our mechanism and that gets

00:04:51 --> 00:04:54 stored into the sample return capsule and

00:04:54 --> 00:04:56 eventually gets returned to Earth.

00:04:57 --> 00:05:00 So the scientists are interested in how the

00:05:00 --> 00:05:03 two moons of Mars were formed and

00:05:03 --> 00:05:05 based on the sample we collect, they can

00:05:05 --> 00:05:07 analyse the sample to determine whether it

00:05:07 --> 00:05:10 was captured asteroids or created due to

00:05:10 --> 00:05:11 giant impact.

00:05:13 --> 00:05:15 Matt Wallace: The success of the pneumatic sampler is

00:05:15 --> 00:05:17 primarily due to the uh, collaborative

00:05:17 --> 00:05:19 efforts between NASA, uh,

00:05:19 --> 00:05:21 JAXA and Blue Origin.

00:05:21 --> 00:05:23 Stuart Gary: And in that report from Blue Origin we heard

00:05:23 --> 00:05:25 from the MMX Systems Technical programme

00:05:25 --> 00:05:28 Manager Yuka Masuyama and MMX

00:05:28 --> 00:05:30 Exploration Systems Vice President Chris

00:05:30 --> 00:05:33 Sacney. This is space time

00:05:34 --> 00:05:36 still to come. Our uh, solar system's life

00:05:36 --> 00:05:39 expectancy is far shorter than previously

00:05:39 --> 00:05:42 thought. And NASA's SpaceX Crew 13

00:05:42 --> 00:05:44 mission arrives aboard the International

00:05:44 --> 00:05:46 Space Station for what will be a six month

00:05:46 --> 00:05:49 mission on the orbiting outpost. All that and

00:05:49 --> 00:05:51 more still to come on, um, space time.

00:06:04 --> 00:06:07 A new study warns that our solar system will

00:06:07 --> 00:06:09 end much sooner than previously thought,

00:06:09 --> 00:06:11 thanks to massive gravitational perturbations

00:06:11 --> 00:06:13 and resonances, causing the planets to

00:06:13 --> 00:06:16 destabilise as our sun expands.

00:06:16 --> 00:06:19 The sun is 4.6 billion years old

00:06:19 --> 00:06:21 and current estimates suggest it has a total

00:06:21 --> 00:06:24 lifespan of around 12 billion years.

00:06:24 --> 00:06:27 That's about when it'll have used up its core

00:06:27 --> 00:06:29 hydrogen fuel supply, which it's been fusing

00:06:29 --> 00:06:32 into helium. When that happens, the Sun's

00:06:32 --> 00:06:34 core will contract, increasing in pressure

00:06:34 --> 00:06:36 and temperature until it gets hot enough to

00:06:36 --> 00:06:38 start fusing helium in its core into carbon

00:06:38 --> 00:06:41 and oxygen. Meanwhile, as the core

00:06:41 --> 00:06:43 contracts, hydrogen in the shell around the

00:06:43 --> 00:06:46 core will heat up and begin burning. At

00:06:46 --> 00:06:48 the same time, the Sun's outer gaseous

00:06:48 --> 00:06:51 envelope, which is now further away from that

00:06:51 --> 00:06:53 contracted core, will cool and expand,

00:06:53 --> 00:06:56 turning the sun into a bloated old red

00:06:56 --> 00:06:59 giant star. As the Sun's outer

00:06:59 --> 00:07:01 envelope expands, it will engulf the inner

00:07:01 --> 00:07:03 planets Mercury and Venus and most likely the

00:07:03 --> 00:07:06 Earth as well. And even if the Earth doesn't

00:07:06 --> 00:07:08 get totally consumed, it'll be burned to a

00:07:08 --> 00:07:11 crisp. All life will be gone. And as

00:07:11 --> 00:07:13 the outer envelope continues to expand, it'll

00:07:13 --> 00:07:16 detach from the Sun's core, becoming a

00:07:16 --> 00:07:18 planetary nebula and exposing the Sun's white

00:07:18 --> 00:07:21 hot stellar core as a white dwarf.

00:07:22 --> 00:07:24 And that's where this study begins. New

00:07:24 --> 00:07:27 simulations suggest that the orbits of the

00:07:27 --> 00:07:29 solar system's planets, including Earth, will

00:07:29 --> 00:07:31 destabilise as the sun expands into a red

00:07:31 --> 00:07:34 giant. The computations by

00:07:34 --> 00:07:36 Konstantin Batygin and colleagues from the

00:07:36 --> 00:07:38 California Institute of Technology are uh,

00:07:38 --> 00:07:40 based on numerical experiments designed to

00:07:40 --> 00:07:42 analyse the orbital dynamics of outer solar

00:07:42 --> 00:07:45 system under different solar mass loss

00:07:45 --> 00:07:48 scenarios. And they show how our

00:07:48 --> 00:07:50 solar system's planets will undergo massive

00:07:50 --> 00:07:52 gravitational perturbations and planetary

00:07:52 --> 00:07:54 resonances, causing their orbits to

00:07:54 --> 00:07:57 destabilise as the sun expands. And

00:07:57 --> 00:08:00 depending on how much of the Sun's mass is

00:08:00 --> 00:08:02 ejected during the red giant phase, it means

00:08:02 --> 00:08:05 our solar system will be disassembled on a

00:08:05 --> 00:08:07 far more rapid timescale than previously

00:08:07 --> 00:08:10 thought. The computer simulations suggest

00:08:10 --> 00:08:13 that about 40% of simulations will lead to

00:08:13 --> 00:08:15 the disruption or violent scattering of the

00:08:15 --> 00:08:17 planets while the sun is in its red giant

00:08:17 --> 00:08:20 phase. And roughly 90% will break down within

00:08:20 --> 00:08:23 3 billion years. That's much sooner than

00:08:23 --> 00:08:26 what was expected. It means instead of

00:08:26 --> 00:08:29 lasting some billion billion years, our solar

00:08:29 --> 00:08:31 system is now only likely to survive for just

00:08:31 --> 00:08:33 a billion years after the sun transforms

00:08:33 --> 00:08:35 into, into a white dwarf.

00:08:36 --> 00:08:39 This is space time still to come.

00:08:39 --> 00:08:42 NASA's SpaceX Crew 13 have arrived aboard the

00:08:42 --> 00:08:44 International Space Station just seven hours

00:08:44 --> 00:08:47 and 50 minutes after blasting off from the

00:08:47 --> 00:08:49 Cape Canaveral Space Force Base in Florida.

00:08:49 --> 00:08:51 And later in the science report,

00:08:51 --> 00:08:53 archaeologists have discovered the earliest

00:08:53 --> 00:08:56 known evidence of ancient humans attacking

00:08:56 --> 00:08:58 each other with spears. Talk about Cain and

00:08:58 --> 00:09:01 Abel. All that and more still to come on

00:09:01 --> 00:09:02 space time.

00:09:18 --> 00:09:21 NASA's SpaceX Crew 13 have arrived aboard

00:09:21 --> 00:09:24 the International Space Station. The crew of

00:09:24 --> 00:09:26 four launched aboard a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket

00:09:26 --> 00:09:29 from Pad 40 of the Cape Canaveral Space Force

00:09:29 --> 00:09:31 Base in Florida to rendezvousing with the

00:09:31 --> 00:09:33 orbiting outpost seven hours and 50 minutes

00:09:33 --> 00:09:36 after liftoff. Their Dragon capsule

00:09:36 --> 00:09:38 Grace docked onto the forward port of the

00:09:38 --> 00:09:40 Harmony Module for a planned six month

00:09:40 --> 00:09:43 mission as part of the Expedition 75 crew.

00:09:44 --> 00:09:46 During their stay the team will work on some

00:09:46 --> 00:09:49 250 experiments, including using

00:09:49 --> 00:09:52 microgravity to produce human stem cells to

00:09:52 --> 00:09:54 improve personalised medicine, disease

00:09:54 --> 00:09:56 modelling and pharmaceutical testing for

00:09:56 --> 00:09:58 conditions such as heart disease and

00:09:58 --> 00:10:00 Parkinson's. They'll also explore crop

00:10:00 --> 00:10:02 production through new mostly autonomous

00:10:02 --> 00:10:05 plant growth systems. And they'll test how

00:10:05 --> 00:10:07 plants grow outside dedicated facilities.

00:10:08 --> 00:10:10 They'll also undertech um, human health

00:10:10 --> 00:10:12 studies examining factors linked to blood

00:10:12 --> 00:10:14 flow anomalies in microgravity. And they'll

00:10:14 --> 00:10:17 test a new in flight diagnostic device to

00:10:17 --> 00:10:20 monitor astronaut health. Just three

00:10:20 --> 00:10:22 hours after Crew 13 blasted off from Cape

00:10:22 --> 00:10:25 Canaveral, SpaceX launched another Falcon 9

00:10:25 --> 00:10:27 rocket, this time from Space Launch Complex 4

00:10:27 --> 00:10:29 East at the Vandenberg Space Force Base in

00:10:29 --> 00:10:32 California. Carrying more than 100 mini

00:10:32 --> 00:10:34 satellites on the Transporter 18 mission.

00:10:34 --> 00:10:37 These carry a range of experiments for

00:10:37 --> 00:10:39 government departments, universities and

00:10:39 --> 00:10:41 private enterprise. That was

00:10:41 --> 00:10:43 followed by another SpaceX launch from

00:10:43 --> 00:10:46 Florida, this one from Pad UH39A at the

00:10:46 --> 00:10:48 Kennedy Space Centre. Carrying a new spy

00:10:48 --> 00:10:50 satellite for the National Reconnaissance

00:10:50 --> 00:10:52 Office. The highly classified

00:10:52 --> 00:10:55 NROl 97 mission flew aboard the

00:10:55 --> 00:10:58 Falcon Heavy rocket. The first use of this

00:10:58 --> 00:11:00 rocket by the spy agency Falcon

00:11:00 --> 00:11:03 Heavy is composed of three Falcon 9 boosters

00:11:03 --> 00:11:06 strapped side by side. The use of a

00:11:06 --> 00:11:08 Falcon Heavy suggests either a very high

00:11:08 --> 00:11:11 orbital target or an extremely heavy payload.

00:11:11 --> 00:11:14 The two side boosters return to Landing Zones

00:11:14 --> 00:11:16 1 and 2 at the Cape Canaveral Space Force

00:11:16 --> 00:11:19 Station eight minutes after launch. But the

00:11:19 --> 00:11:21 core booster appears to have been expended

00:11:21 --> 00:11:24 during the mission, meaning no fuel for a

00:11:24 --> 00:11:26 boostback burn to Earth or a landing burn.

00:11:27 --> 00:11:29 And it doesn't end there. In what's been a

00:11:29 --> 00:11:32 really Busy week for SpaceX, just a week

00:11:32 --> 00:11:35 after Crew 13's arrival on station, NASA's

00:11:35 --> 00:11:37 SpaceX Crew 12 undocked UM from the orbiting

00:11:37 --> 00:11:40 outpost Zenith Port of the Harmony module for

00:11:40 --> 00:11:42 their return journey to Earth following their

00:11:42 --> 00:11:44 eight month mission on station, splashing

00:11:44 --> 00:11:46 down in the North Pacific Ocean off the

00:11:46 --> 00:11:49 California coast west of Los Angeles. It

00:11:49 --> 00:11:51 was an eventful mission for Crew 12.

00:11:52 --> 00:11:54 It began earlier than expected following the

00:11:54 --> 00:11:56 earlier return to Earth of the Crew 11

00:11:56 --> 00:11:58 mission due to a medical evacuation of one of

00:11:58 --> 00:12:01 their crew members and it was also a late

00:12:01 --> 00:12:03 crew Replacement for Crew 12 with the

00:12:03 --> 00:12:06 original Russian cosmonaut intended to fly on

00:12:06 --> 00:12:08 the mission, expelled from the United States

00:12:08 --> 00:12:11 following spying allegations. Apparently it

00:12:11 --> 00:12:12 was caught violating international

00:12:12 --> 00:12:14 Trafficking in Arms regulations by

00:12:14 --> 00:12:16 photographing SpaceX engines, classified

00:12:16 --> 00:12:19 documents and other technologies using his

00:12:19 --> 00:12:21 phone at a SpaceX facility in Hawthorne,

00:12:21 --> 00:12:24 California. Dear, oh dear. Looks like old

00:12:24 --> 00:12:27 Cold War habits die hard. During

00:12:27 --> 00:12:30 their 237 days on station, Crew 12

00:12:30 --> 00:12:33 completed 3 orbits of

00:12:33 --> 00:12:35 the planet, undertaking four spacewalks and

00:12:35 --> 00:12:37 carrying out research, testing stem cell

00:12:37 --> 00:12:40 production for new therapies, demonstrating

00:12:40 --> 00:12:42 on demand IV fluid generation for future

00:12:42 --> 00:12:45 missions, and studying how the bacteria which

00:12:45 --> 00:12:47 causes pneumonia can lead to long term heart

00:12:47 --> 00:12:50 damage. They also conducted nutrition

00:12:50 --> 00:12:52 focused research and examined how physical

00:12:52 --> 00:12:54 characteristics may affect blood flow during

00:12:54 --> 00:12:56 spaceflight in order to help keep astronauts

00:12:56 --> 00:12:58 safe and healthy. Future long duration

00:12:58 --> 00:13:01 missions to the Moon and Mars More

00:13:01 --> 00:13:04 and more it's all becoming about Artemis

00:13:05 --> 00:13:06 this is space time.

00:13:13 --> 00:13:14 Tim Mendham: Foreign.

00:13:23 --> 00:13:25 Stuart Gary: Look at some of the other stories making news

00:13:25 --> 00:13:27 in Science this week with a Science report.

00:13:28 --> 00:13:31 A new study claims men with deeper voices

00:13:31 --> 00:13:33 might seem stronger but are not more

00:13:33 --> 00:13:35 attractive to women. The findings, reported

00:13:35 --> 00:13:37 in the Journal of the Royal Society Open

00:13:37 --> 00:13:40 Science, modified videos of 17 white

00:13:40 --> 00:13:42 British males to give them deeper voices.

00:13:43 --> 00:13:45 American men watching the videos thought the

00:13:45 --> 00:13:47 men in the videos were stronger and better at

00:13:47 --> 00:13:50 fighting, but the deeper voices didn't make

00:13:50 --> 00:13:52 them any more attractive to American women

00:13:52 --> 00:13:54 watching the same videos. Interestingly,

00:13:54 --> 00:13:57 however, audio only recordings of the same

00:13:57 --> 00:13:59 men but with higher pitched voices did make

00:13:59 --> 00:14:02 them seem less attractive to the women. When

00:14:02 --> 00:14:04 men were asked to guess the weights of the

00:14:04 --> 00:14:06 men in the videos, they tended to guess that

00:14:06 --> 00:14:08 those with deeper voices weighed more.

00:14:09 --> 00:14:12 A new study claims fewer 15 year olds are now

00:14:12 --> 00:14:15 identifying as gay, lesbian or bisexual

00:14:15 --> 00:14:18 compared to two years ago. The analysis by

00:14:18 --> 00:14:20 the Centres for Disease Control and

00:14:20 --> 00:14:22 Prevention questioned ninth graders in

00:14:22 --> 00:14:24 American junior high schools. The study found

00:14:24 --> 00:14:27 that the overall number of junior high school

00:14:27 --> 00:14:30 freshmen identifying as LGB fell from

00:14:30 --> 00:14:32 17% in 2023 down to

00:14:32 --> 00:14:35 11% last year. That's interesting

00:14:35 --> 00:14:37 because historically 10% of the population

00:14:37 --> 00:14:40 identify as gay or lesbian. The authors found

00:14:40 --> 00:14:43 the most dramatic shift was among girls. In

00:14:43 --> 00:14:46 2021, 30% of ninth graders

00:14:46 --> 00:14:49 identified as lesbian or bisexual, but

00:14:49 --> 00:14:52 by 2025 that number had plummeted

00:14:52 --> 00:14:54 to 17%. The drop was largely

00:14:54 --> 00:14:57 driven by a reduction in girls identifying

00:14:57 --> 00:15:00 specifically as bisexual, which fell by half

00:15:00 --> 00:15:02 from 26% down to 13%.

00:15:02 --> 00:15:05 The shift was far less significant for 15

00:15:05 --> 00:15:07 year old boys, where identification shifted

00:15:07 --> 00:15:10 only slightly from 9% in 2021 to

00:15:10 --> 00:15:13 7% in 2025, and the

00:15:13 --> 00:15:14 authors found that a client is more

00:15:14 --> 00:15:17 concentrated among younger teens. Older

00:15:17 --> 00:15:19 students, such as seniors in 12th grade, saw

00:15:19 --> 00:15:22 little change, dipping only slightly from

00:15:22 --> 00:15:25 18% down to 16%. Uh, as

00:15:25 --> 00:15:27 for the reasons for the change, they're still

00:15:27 --> 00:15:29 being debated, with some researchers

00:15:29 --> 00:15:32 suggesting that the LGBTQ Alphabet

00:15:32 --> 00:15:34 Identification PE during the isolation of the

00:15:34 --> 00:15:37 COVID 19 pandemic, and that a

00:15:37 --> 00:15:39 stabilisation or correction following a

00:15:39 --> 00:15:41 decade of rapid growth was always expected.

00:15:41 --> 00:15:43 But others suggest that adopting certain

00:15:43 --> 00:15:46 labels may have simply been a passing trend

00:15:46 --> 00:15:49 popularised by the sociopolitical work

00:15:49 --> 00:15:50 targeting younger adolescents.

00:15:52 --> 00:15:54 The World Meteorological Organisation says

00:15:54 --> 00:15:56 that sea surface temperatures in the central

00:15:56 --> 00:15:59 and eastern tropical Pacific are now forecast

00:15:59 --> 00:16:01 to increase to record levels during the next

00:16:01 --> 00:16:04 three months. The new data reflects a

00:16:04 --> 00:16:06 strengthening of the current Super El Nino.

00:16:07 --> 00:16:09 The WMO says that El Nino is firmly

00:16:09 --> 00:16:11 established and there's a near 100%

00:16:11 --> 00:16:13 likelihood that it will continue through

00:16:13 --> 00:16:15 until at least February next year,

00:16:15 --> 00:16:17 potentially making it one of the strongest

00:16:17 --> 00:16:18 since at least 1950.

00:16:19 --> 00:16:21 Scientists recorded an increase in

00:16:21 --> 00:16:23 temperatures from an average of 1.6 degrees

00:16:23 --> 00:16:26 Celsius above normal in June to 2.5

00:16:26 --> 00:16:28 degrees above normal in August and is now

00:16:28 --> 00:16:31 forecast to reach approximately 3.7 degrees

00:16:31 --> 00:16:34 Celsius peaking around December. And for

00:16:34 --> 00:16:36 Australia that means hotter conditions and

00:16:36 --> 00:16:37 less rain.

00:16:38 --> 00:16:41 Anthropologists say a round hole in the

00:16:41 --> 00:16:43 shoulder blade of a 75-year-old

00:16:43 --> 00:16:45 Neanderthal fossil could be the earliest

00:16:45 --> 00:16:47 known evidence of ancient humans attacking

00:16:47 --> 00:16:50 one another with spears. The remains were

00:16:50 --> 00:16:53 found under 7.5 metres of rock and sediment

00:16:53 --> 00:16:55 in a cave in Iraqi Kurdistan and include a

00:16:55 --> 00:16:58 15 millimetre diameter circular hole created

00:16:58 --> 00:17:01 by a sharpened wooden spear that penetrated

00:17:01 --> 00:17:03 the left chest cavity from the front and

00:17:03 --> 00:17:05 travelled through the body, including a lun

00:17:05 --> 00:17:07 likely major arteries, before punching a hole

00:17:07 --> 00:17:09 in the left scapula, which scientists say

00:17:09 --> 00:17:11 would have quickly ended the Neanderthal's

00:17:11 --> 00:17:14 life. The findings, published in the journal

00:17:14 --> 00:17:16 Scientific Reports, say tiny bone shards

00:17:16 --> 00:17:19 knocked out of place by the spear indicate it

00:17:19 --> 00:17:22 entered from above on a downward trajectory.

00:17:23 --> 00:17:26 Promoters of the pseudoscience of homoeopathy

00:17:26 --> 00:17:28 are making a concerted effort in the United

00:17:28 --> 00:17:29 States to limit the Food and Drug

00:17:29 --> 00:17:31 Administration's ability to regulate the

00:17:31 --> 00:17:34 swindle sceptics Timms Mendham says her

00:17:34 --> 00:17:36 murders of the phoney practice have now

00:17:36 --> 00:17:38 managed to convince a number of US Senators

00:17:38 --> 00:17:41 to sponsor a bill, despite all the peer

00:17:41 --> 00:17:43 reviewed scientific studies clearly showing

00:17:43 --> 00:17:45 homoeopathy doesn't work.

00:17:45 --> 00:17:48 Tim Mendham: Homoeopathy is a medical in quotes

00:17:48 --> 00:17:50 treatment developed in the late 1800s by a

00:17:50 --> 00:17:52 German named Hahnemann, Samuel Hahnemann,

00:17:52 --> 00:17:55 supposedly based on the idea that like

00:17:55 --> 00:17:57 cures like that's one aspect of it. So if

00:17:57 --> 00:17:59 you're suffering from colds and sniffles, you

00:17:59 --> 00:18:01 should take a potion made up with onions,

00:18:01 --> 00:18:04 which makes you sniffle, cry, etc. So

00:18:04 --> 00:18:06 obviously that has a link to cold. Also, the

00:18:06 --> 00:18:08 preparation is very important for

00:18:08 --> 00:18:09 homoeopathy. You have to have continual

00:18:09 --> 00:18:12 dilutions to make it work. So basically you

00:18:12 --> 00:18:14 take your homoeopathic liquid which is made

00:18:14 --> 00:18:16 from supposedly from these particular

00:18:16 --> 00:18:19 chemicals, herbs, you name it rocks even in

00:18:19 --> 00:18:21 some cases, and you take a drop of that and

00:18:21 --> 00:18:24 you dilute it in a hundred drops of water

00:18:24 --> 00:18:26 and then you take a drop of that, the

00:18:26 --> 00:18:28 dilution to 100 and you drop it in another

00:18:28 --> 00:18:31 100. So now you're down to what, 10? And

00:18:31 --> 00:18:33 then you take another drop of that and then

00:18:33 --> 00:18:35 you dilute it in another hundred and you're

00:18:35 --> 00:18:37 now down to in a million and you keep doing

00:18:37 --> 00:18:39 it. See that's like 1, 2, 3 dilutions. They

00:18:39 --> 00:18:42 take it up to about 20, 30, 40, 50, even

00:18:42 --> 00:18:44 100 dilutions, which means there's basically

00:18:44 --> 00:18:46 nothing left of the thing you were diluting

00:18:46 --> 00:18:47 in the first place. There are various other

00:18:47 --> 00:18:50 aspects to it. You're supposed to take your

00:18:50 --> 00:18:52 dilution each time, bang it on something in

00:18:52 --> 00:18:54 the test tube or whatever you've got to do.

00:18:54 --> 00:18:56 Usually bang it on a Bible, which is strange,

00:18:56 --> 00:18:58 but bang it on something hard, often

00:18:58 --> 00:19:00 something leather, so it's a bit softer, so

00:19:00 --> 00:19:01 it's not going to break the glass container.

00:19:01 --> 00:19:04 And then you sell it to people as a

00:19:04 --> 00:19:06 treatment, in some cases claimed to be a cure

00:19:06 --> 00:19:09 for you name it, any condition at all you

00:19:09 --> 00:19:12 want to name. Shyness, blockages. This is

00:19:12 --> 00:19:13 an actual one that's being sold that I've

00:19:13 --> 00:19:16 seen to treat blockages. Obviously blockages

00:19:16 --> 00:19:18 is like a wall that stops you doing things.

00:19:18 --> 00:19:20 If someone got a bit of the Berlin Wall,

00:19:20 --> 00:19:23 crushed it down, tried to dilute it and give

00:19:23 --> 00:19:25 that to people as a treatment for, um,

00:19:25 --> 00:19:27 emotional blockages. It's ludicrous. It's

00:19:27 --> 00:19:29 diluted to the extent where there's nothing

00:19:29 --> 00:19:32 left. The answer to that by the homoeopathic

00:19:32 --> 00:19:34 community is that the water retains a memory

00:19:34 --> 00:19:37 of this original subject, meaning that it

00:19:37 --> 00:19:39 doesn't actually have to have anything left

00:19:39 --> 00:19:41 in it, have a memory, which is a worry

00:19:41 --> 00:19:43 because every time someone goes to the toilet

00:19:43 --> 00:19:45 they add something to the water, which is a

00:19:45 --> 00:19:46 memory, therefore, of what you're drinking is

00:19:46 --> 00:19:49 what you put down the toilet. The Fukushima

00:19:49 --> 00:19:50 nuclear power station earthquake, some of

00:19:50 --> 00:19:52 that would have gone in the water. Nuclear

00:19:52 --> 00:19:54 action, it would have been diluted. Wouldn't

00:19:54 --> 00:19:55 matter how diluted it was, according to

00:19:55 --> 00:19:57 hydropaths, still impactful, effective. And

00:19:57 --> 00:19:59 so therefore everyone is digging radioactive

00:19:59 --> 00:20:01 water regardless of where you are. The whole

00:20:01 --> 00:20:04 notion is silly. The reality is silly.

00:20:04 --> 00:20:06 It's been tested to see if it actually works.

00:20:06 --> 00:20:08 The big issue for testing something like that

00:20:08 --> 00:20:11 is one, is it safe? And then two, does it

00:20:11 --> 00:20:13 actually work? Is it efficacious? Homoeopathy

00:20:13 --> 00:20:15 is probably safe. It's not going to. You're

00:20:15 --> 00:20:17 paying for water, so a little bit of sugar

00:20:17 --> 00:20:18 water perhaps to add some flavour to it. So

00:20:18 --> 00:20:20 it's expensive water, so it's not going to

00:20:20 --> 00:20:21 hurt you. It's probably safe. Is it going to

00:20:21 --> 00:20:24 work? No. The answer is simple. No. In many

00:20:24 --> 00:20:26 cases in the sceptical community, you say,

00:20:26 --> 00:20:28 yeah, might be a little bit, yes, no,

00:20:28 --> 00:20:30 whatever. Homoeopathy is one of those things

00:20:30 --> 00:20:32 where you can say, no, it certainly doesn't

00:20:32 --> 00:20:34 work better than placebos. And so many tests

00:20:34 --> 00:20:36 have actually tested it and systematic

00:20:36 --> 00:20:38 investigations have come out and said there's

00:20:38 --> 00:20:39 nothing there. But there's a couple of

00:20:39 --> 00:20:41 American senators who are now trying to get

00:20:41 --> 00:20:44 the Food and Drug Administration in the US to

00:20:44 --> 00:20:47 loosen up their, uh, controls on what could

00:20:47 --> 00:20:49 actually be tested and what works. They are

00:20:49 --> 00:20:51 obviously supporters of homoeopathy,

00:20:51 --> 00:20:53 therefore, and there's a bit of an outrage by

00:20:53 --> 00:20:55 the homoeopathic community as there would be.

00:20:55 --> 00:20:56 But this still doesn't change the evidence

00:20:56 --> 00:20:58 that it doesn't work. It doesn't do anything,

00:20:58 --> 00:21:00 perhaps makes people feel good. The trouble

00:21:00 --> 00:21:02 is that is, if they think it's working,

00:21:02 --> 00:21:03 they're not going to go to established

00:21:03 --> 00:21:05 medical practices. So they might be missing

00:21:05 --> 00:21:08 out on a cure for what may be a real

00:21:08 --> 00:21:10 condition. And therefore that's when it

00:21:10 --> 00:21:12 becomes dangerous. The substitution for

00:21:12 --> 00:21:14 things that work by things that don't work.

00:21:14 --> 00:21:16 Stuart Gary: So it's not just a case of these senators

00:21:16 --> 00:21:18 wanting to get rid of the nanny state.

00:21:18 --> 00:21:19 There's more to it than that. There's

00:21:19 --> 00:21:21 actually some real harm that can come.

00:21:21 --> 00:21:23 Tim Mendham: Yes. Yeah, it certainly might be a nanny

00:21:23 --> 00:21:25 state thing. They're not all tend to be sort

00:21:25 --> 00:21:27 of nanny state oriented or, uh, anti nanny

00:21:27 --> 00:21:29 state oriented politicians. Some of them come

00:21:29 --> 00:21:32 from states where homeopathies and the

00:21:32 --> 00:21:34 alternative medicine industry is a big thing.

00:21:34 --> 00:21:36 So maybe there's a bit of protection for the

00:21:36 --> 00:21:38 local industry. They just don't want people

00:21:38 --> 00:21:40 interfering in this particular industry,

00:21:40 --> 00:21:42 despite the fact that doesn't work.

00:21:42 --> 00:21:44 Stuart Gary: That's the sceptics. Tim Mendham and this

00:21:44 --> 00:21:45 is Space Time.

00:22:01 --> 00:22:04 And that's the show for now. Space Time

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